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Week in Perspective: Santa Claus Rally Intact [31-Dec-21]

Santa Claus Rally Intact to end 2021

Santa definitely visited the stock market through the last couple weeks of the year. The major indices closed out 2021 on a mostly positive note, particularly for the S&P 500 (+0.9%) and Dow Jones (+1.1%). Both gained around 1.0% and set intraday and closing record highs last week. The Nasdaq Composite declined 0.1% while the Russell 2000 increased 0.2%.

There weren’t any specific catalysts driving the action, suggesting seasonal factors and year-end rebalancing activity played influential roles. Last week encompassed part of the Santa Claus rally period, which is defined as the last five sessions of the year and the first two sessions of the new year.

Ten of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finished in positive territory for the week. No sector rose more than the 3.7% gain in the real estate sector, but the materials (+2.6%), consumer staples (+2.5%), and utilities (+2.6%) sectors did compete. The communication services sector (-0.8%) closed lower after a tough session on Friday.

There was plenty of COVID-19 news in the mix.

The bad news was that businesses continued to see Omicron-related disruptions, as called out by Micron (MU) and seen in flight/cruise line cancelations. The CDC even upped its travel notice on cruise lines to Level 4, advising people to “avoid cruise travel, regardless of vaccination status.”

The CDC, however, shortened the recommended isolation time for asymptomatic people with COVID-19 to five days from 10 days. The FDA, meanwhile, is expected to expand eligibility for Pfizer’s (PFE) booster shot to 12- to 15-year-olds on Monday. Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) said data demonstrated its booster shot was 85% effective against hospitalization in South Africa when the Omicron variant was dominant.

The Treasury market was quiet last week. The 10-yr yield increased two basis points to 1.51% (+59 bps in 2021) while the 2-yr yield increased four basis points to 0.73% (+61 bps in 2021).

Week in Perspective provided by

Mike Minter

Mike develops investment portfolio allocations, handles trading and rebalancing, and conducts research and analysis as a Portfolio Manager and Financial Advisor for the firm. As a perpetual student of investing and the markets, Mike considers himself obsessed with the subject. Mike has earned the CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ (CFP®) and Certified Fund Specialist® designations. He is also an active member of the Houston chapter of the Financial Planning Association (FPA).   Read Mike’s Profile HereRead More Articles by Mike

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