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What Exactly Is Systemic Risk?

We all remember the 2008 financial crisis and recession, as millions of people lost their jobs, homes, and ways of life. While a lot of factors contributed to this economic disaster, one term can cover nearly all of them: systemic risk.

We’re hearing this term all the time again from the financial media as we battle another (much smaller) banking crisis.

So, let’s look at what systemic risk is and how it might impact your behavior as an investor.

What Exactly is Systemic Risk?

According to the CFA Institute, systemic risk is “the risk of a breakdown of an entire system rather than simply the failure of individual parts.” This could mean a lot of different things, but in finance, it refers to the risk of a cascading failure in the financial sector.1

Any financial system has some level of systemic risk, but policymakers seek to limit this risk by closely monitoring the market, analyzing global trends, and creating reforms to help protect people and their finances.

For example, the Obama Administration signed the Dodd–Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act into law in July 2010 as a response to the 2008 financial crisis. The idea behind this legislation was to make the US financial system safer for consumers and taxpayers by establishing new government agencies to oversee our financial system. While it’s impossible to limit all systemic risk, there are steps that the government and consumers can take to prevent something like the 2008 financial crisis from happening again.2

How Systemic Risk Impacts Investors

While individual investors can’t protect themselves from systemic risk completely, looking at the concept does teach us a lot of important lessons about investing and risk tolerance. For example, you can diversify your investment portfolio and assets, and reduce your personal debt levels to help hedge against potential risks. We will always recommend a diversified portfolio that’s aligned with your risk tolerance and financial goals.

Systemic risk and market risk aren’t equivalent, but they do raise the question, “How much risk is too much?” The answer to this question depends on your own personal risk tolerance.

Looking at systemic risk also makes us more skeptical of companies that are “too big to fail.” For example, Lehman Brothers’ “size and integration” into the US economy made it a source of systemic risk. When the firm collapsed, it “created problems throughout the financial system and the economy.”3

This risky “too big to fail” ideology is one of the reasons why the financial crisis of 2008 happened, prompting individuals to do research on their own investment decisions. It’s dangerous to blindly trust any company, big or small, without doing the proper research.

As an investor, it’s important to understand our economy as a whole and how things like systemic risk impact our daily lives and investments. The 2008 financial crisis was a big wake-up call for Americans and politicians, as we realized that without the proper checks and balances in place, things can go horribly wrong.

But with diligent oversight, responsible companies, and educated investors, we can begin to protect ourselves more thoroughly. Understanding this systemic risk is a good way for investors to understand the overall impact on their portfolios.

We’ve come a long way since 2008, and although systemic risk will always be present in our economy and financial markets, we are better protected today. We’ll never avoid market downturns, recessions, etc…but hopefully we lessen the likelihood of a catastrophic meltdown like 2008.

 

  1. https://www.cfainstitute.org/en/advocacy/issues/systemic-risk
  2. https://www.cfainstitute.org/en/advocacy/issues/dodd-frank-rollback
  3. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/systemic-risk.asp

 

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Mike Minter
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Shareholder | Chief Investment Officer

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