How the Saudi Oil Disruption Affects Us

Over the weekend, attacks on Saudi Arabia’s oil facilities disrupted 5.7 million barrels per day of production, approximately 5% of the world’s daily output. Oil prices have spiked (+15%) as a result, with the administration authorizing the use of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve and hinting at possible military action. For investors, headlines such as these may naturally spark concern. Read More

September 13, 2019 Weekly Market Recap

The stock market extended its winning streak to three weeks, with value-oriented sectors leading the market closer to all-time highs. The S&P 500 (+1.0%) climbed back above the 3,000 level while the Dow Jones (+1.6%) rose back above 27,000. Read More

What To Make Of Last Week’s Jobs Report

With the markets fluctuating on a day-to-day basis from headlines such as U.S.-China trade and Federal Reserve monetary policy, it’s important to maintain perspective on the overall health of the U.S. economy. Read More

September 6, 2019 Weekly Market Recap

The stock market rallied for the second straight week, supported by developments in trade, politics, and encouraging economic data. The S&P 500 (+1.8%), Nasdaq Composite (+1.8%), and Dow Jones Industrial Average (+1.5%) each increased at least 1.5%. The Russell 2000 (+0.7%) trailed its larger-cap peers. Read More

August 30, 2019 Weekly Market Recap

The S&P 500 rose 2.8% this week, snapping a four-week losing streak as the market turned more optimistic on trade dealings with China. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 3.0%, the Nasdaq Composite increased 2.7%, and the Russell 2000 increased 2.4%. Read More

The Yield Curve and Other Economic Indicators

Of the market and economic indicators that usually precede recessions, none receives quite the attention as the steepness of the yield curve. It’s for this reason that markets reacted with uncertainty to last week’s intra-day yield curve inversion – the first since 2007. What does this mean for long-term investors and what’s different this time? Read More

August 16, 2019 Weekly Market Recap

The stock market finished lower this week in another wild ride on Wall Street. The S&P 500 (-1.0%), Dow Jones Industrial Average (-1.5%), and Russell 2000 (-1.3%) lost at least 1.0%, while the Nasdaq Composite (-0.8%) fared slightly better. Read More

How the U.S. and Chinese Currencies Affect Investors

For investors who focus too much on day-to-day headlines, the fact that several market and economic concerns have become intertwined is a major challenge. The recent Fed rate cut was partly in response to U.S.-China trade talks. In turn, both of these long-standing issues have conspired to strengthen the U.S. dollar and weaken the Chinese Yuan, leading the U.S. Treasury to designate China as a currency manipulator. Read More

The Proverbial “Gut Check”

As I write this blog the markets are recovering somewhat from yesterday’s steep losses. The Dow Jones dropped over 750 points (almost 3%) on Monday alone. Over the past seven days the Dow (and most U.S. indices) are off around -5% (not including today’s recovery). This chart says it all. Pretty ugly: Read More

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